What's Wrong with the Conventional Wisdom | |
| This full-text article on the emerging securities markets in Eastern Europe was first published in Emerging Markets Analyst 4, no. 3 (July 1995), pp. 11-12. It expresses skepticism that Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic will become members of the European Union before the 21st century, and points up oft-neglected legal and financial obstacles to their economic take-off. | |
Are the emerging securities markets in Eastern Europe worth paying attention to? Yes, if one is careful and avoids the "conventional wisdom." The conventional wisdom is that Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic are on track to become members of the European Union (EU), that their growth will be export-led, and that they are set to take off in the foreseeable but always indefinite future. Each of these three assumptions is either a little off-base or just plain wrong-headed.
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